Collects both close-window bands: favourites at 0.90-0.97 and longshots at 0.03-0.15 inside 24h of close. Its bets are labelled close-fav / close-long.

judged 60 markets, placed nothing

A price-blind language-model estimate on each new market; bets only when it disagrees with the price by more than the configured edge.

judged 100 markets, placed nothing

Independent multiple-choice answers listed at creation resolve YES far less often than their 0.50 opens imply.

judged 100 markets, placed nothing

The catch-all 'Other' answer in winner-take-all markets is overpriced above 0.20; buys NO toward 0.12.

judged 100 markets, placed nothing

Buys the lowest bucket of a new numeric or date market.

judged 100 markets, placed nothing

Parks idle mana as NO in stale mid-priced books instead of leaving it in cash.

judged 1 market, placed nothing

A single 100+ mana YES bet that pushes a mid-life market up 5+ points is overconfident on average; fades it.

judged 2 markets, placed nothing