A multiple-choice market lists its answers at about 0.50 each, and answers that resolve independently come in nearer 38%. So this module buys NO across the answers of a brand-new market, up to 150 mana per market. The bet is per answer, which is exactly where the risk hides: a market's answers are often settled by one event on one day, and then a dozen small bets are one big bet wearing a dozen costumes.
A market marked in warning colour took six or more answers. Read those as a single position: the per-market cap limits the stake, not the number of ways one event can decide it. Each chip is one answer at the price it opened; the card's tail names the version that placed the bets.
Nothing judged yet.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: The Artisan of Glimmith | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Big Walk | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: The Incident at Galley House | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Super Sudokoid: Dark Inversion | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Sokogram | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Cursed Words | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Sudokuvania 2: Lineage of Logic | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Desktop Explorer | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: TR-49 | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v9 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Pronoun Palace | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-26 21:25 | v9 | Will Republicans win both Iowa and Ohio Governorships in 2026? :: Win Both | NO 4 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-26 21:25 | v9 | Will Republicans win both Iowa and Ohio Governorships in 2026? :: Lose Both | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-26 21:25 | v9 | Will Republicans win both Iowa and Ohio Governorships in 2026? :: Win Iowa Lose Ohio | NO 4 | open +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-26 21:25 | v9 | Will Republicans win both Iowa and Ohio Governorships in 2026? :: Win Ohio Lose Iowa | NO 4 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: at Georgia Tech | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: vs. Weber State | NO 4 | open -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: at Northwestern | NO 4 | open +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: at Baylor | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: vs. Texas Tech | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: vs. Utah | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: at Oklahoma State | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: vs. Kansas State | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: at Arizona State | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: vs. Houston | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: at Cincinnati | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:43 | v9 | Which games will Colorado Buffaloes football win in the 2026 season? :: vs. UCF | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. New England Patriots | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Arizona Cardinals | NO 4 | open -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Washington Commanders | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. Los Angeles Chargers | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. San Francisco 49ers | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Denver Broncos | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. Kansas City Chiefs | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. Chicago Bears | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. Arizona Cardinals | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Las Vegas Raiders | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at San Francisco 49ers | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. New York Giants | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Philadelphia Eagles | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: vs. Los Angeles Rams | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Carolina Panthers | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-25 07:40 | v9 | Which Games Will the Seattle Seahawks win in the 2026-2027 Season? :: at Los Angeles Rams | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Ball State | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: at Texas | NO 4 | open +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Kent State | NO 4 | open -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Illinois | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: at Iowa | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Maryland | NO 4 | open -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: at Indiana | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: at USC | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Oregon | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Northwestern | NO 4 | open -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: at Nebraska | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 19:03 | v9 | Which Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Michigan | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 11:13 | v9 | Who of the unstable SMP will post this week? :: Parrot | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 11:13 | v9 | Who of the unstable SMP will post this week? :: Wembu | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 11:13 | v9 | Who of the unstable SMP will post this week? :: Flamefrags | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 11:13 | v9 | Who of the unstable SMP will post this week? :: Spoke | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Wisconsin | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Rice | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Michigan State | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: at Purdue | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: at North Carolina | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Stanford | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: at BYU | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Navy | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Miami (FL) | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. Boston College | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: vs. SMU | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 09:40 | v9 | Which Games will Notre Dame football win during the 2026 season? :: at Syracuse | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: Hakeem Jeffries becomes house speaker | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: An incumbent senator loses general electi | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: Trump is incumbent president | NO 4 | open -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: Chuck Schumer becomes senate majority lea | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: An Incumbent governor loses general elect | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: Democrats win both chamber of congress | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: The eventual 2028 Democratic Presidential | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: US House Speaker elected on first ballot | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-24 07:16 | v9 | What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!) :: Democrats win house general ballot by at | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-23 22:14 | v9 | Top 3 most popular Halloween costumes in 2026? [ADD ANSWERS] :: Spider-man | NO 4 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
Showing the newest 80 of 85 trades.
85 trades, 339 staked, realised +14, open -41 if held / -55 if sold.
85 answer-bets across 9 markets for
339 mana; realised +14 on 4
settled. Largest single market: 16 answers.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above.
Built 2026-09-22 18:12Z.