A multiple-choice market lists its answers at about 0.50 each, and answers that resolve independently come in nearer 38%. So this module buys NO across the answers of a brand-new market, up to 150 mana per market. The bet is per answer, which is exactly where the risk hides: a market's answers are often settled by one event on one day, and then a dozen small bets are one big bet wearing a dozen costumes.
A market marked in warning colour took six or more answers. Read those as a single position: the per-market cap limits the stake, not the number of ways one event can decide it. Each chip is one answer at the price it opened; the card's tail names the version that placed the bets.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:40 | v89-twin | Old School Runescape Summit/Roadmap Props :: Varlamore Achievement Diaries announced | NO 16 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-22 16:40 | v89-twin | Old School Runescape Summit/Roadmap Props :: New OSRS Leagues planned for 2027 | NO 16 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-22 01:09 | v89-twin | OpenAI Dev Day 2026 props :: OpenAI perpetuals increase in value by >2% the next 24 hours | NO 2 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-22 01:09 | v89-twin | OpenAI Dev Day 2026 props :: OpenAI publicly reveals the form factor or product name of i | NO 2 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-22 01:09 | v89-twin | OpenAI Dev Day 2026 props :: OpenAI releases a Grok Bot competitor | NO 2 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-22 01:09 | v89-twin | OpenAI Dev Day 2026 props :: OpenAI releases or publicly previews “Persistent Mode” | NO 2 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 19:20 | v89-twin | Rank the options! :: Answer 4 | NO 3 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 19:20 | v89-twin | Rank the options! :: Answer 1 | NO 3 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 19:20 | v89-twin | Rank the options! :: Answer 2 | NO 3 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 19:20 | v89-twin | Rank the options! :: Answer 3 | NO 3 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: gsmst hs | NO 3 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: ia hs | NO 3 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: chatahoochee hs | NO 3 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: fsa hs | NO 3 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: walton hs | NO 3 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: northview hs | NO 3 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-21 04:46 | v89-twin | which teams will qual for nationals from GA this year :: brookwood hs | NO 3 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Michigan defeats Iowa | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Notre Dame defeats Purdue | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Georgia State defeats Northern | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Florida State defeats Central A | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Hawaii defeats Wyoming | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Georgia defeats Oklahoma | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Ole Miss defeats Florida | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Utah defeats Iowa State | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Toledo defeats San Diego State | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: UTSA defeats Colorado State | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: UNLV defeats Akron | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Ball State defeats Kent State | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Kentucky defeats South Alabama | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Eastern Michigan defeats Linden | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: UCLA defeats Maryland | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Texas Tech defeats Sam Houston | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Louisiana defeats Wake Forest | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Colorado defeats Baylor | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Pittsburgh defeats Bucknell | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Virginia Tech defeats Boston Co | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: UAB defeats Navy | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Indiana defeats Northwestern | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Clemson defeats California | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Tennessee defeats Texas | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Ohio State defeats Illinois | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Coastal Carolina defeats Libert | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Temple defeats Army | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-20 06:48 | v89-twin | What results will happen during Week 4 of the 2026 College Football Season? :: Rutgers defeats Howard | NO 0 | unfilled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
45 trades, 77 staked, realised +0, open +12 if held / +8 if sold, 28 unfilled.
45 answer-bets across 5 markets for
77 mana; realised +0 on 0
settled. Largest single market: 28 answers.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above.
Built 2026-09-22 18:22Z.