A numeric or date market is a histogram sharing one book: "how many" or "when". This module has one opinion about them, and it is about shape — the lowest bucket is systematically overpriced, because it is listed first and early traders anchor on it. It wants at least 3 buckets and a first bucket priced between 0.02 and 0.95. It is running in shadow in this version: every bet in the book is paper, judged like a real one but never sent.
No numeric market judged yet.
Nothing judged yet.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 10:00 | v88-twin | How many seats will BJP win in the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election? :: 0 - 179 | YES 5 | open -0 | lowest numeric bucket cheap at open (+20.6/100 pooled n=647); open 0.20 |
| 09-06 03:55 | v88-twin | When will Madoka Magica: Walpurgis no Kaiten be officially released in the United States? :: Before Oct 2026 | YES 5 | open -4 | lowest numeric bucket cheap at open (+20.6/100 pooled n=647); open 0.50 |
2 trades, 11 staked, realised +0, open -3 if held / -4 if sold.
2 markets bet (2 journal rows) for
11 mana; realised +0 on 0
settled. Where a market's full bucket list was not recorded, the shape is
drawn from the first bucket alone and the rest is filler — said on
the card rather than implied by a chart that looks complete.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above.
Built 2026-09-22 18:22Z.