close‑collector

module 1.0 · v88-twin ← trader

A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.

The closing window

0.90–0.970.03–0.1524h12hcloseWill the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? 0.05 with 20.2h left (traded)Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? 0.05 with 20.2h left (traded)BSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag 0.14 with 23.0h left (traded)Will Rocco perform his signature 'Dance Floor Hump' at Greg's wedding reception? 0.93 with 23.5h left (traded)SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election? 0.95 with 23.5h left (traded)Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026 0.08 with 7.9h left (traded)BSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag 0.90 with 2.4h left (traded)Will the address for math.eg.rego.re have a balance of more than $100 before Sep 8? 0.15 with 23.8h left (traded)Will the official high at SAN reach 85.0°F or higher on any day during Labor Day Weekend? (San Diego) 0.93 with 6.7h left (traded)Will Dan McKee be renominated for Governor of Rhode Island in 2026? 0.04 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate? 0.95 with 23.8h left (traded)Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8? 0.14 with 9.1h left (traded)Will Charles have more years as King than William will have children? 0.95 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Brandenburg & Doyle's Gravity Modification Results Replicate? 0.06 with 23.8h left (traded)Will YES have more holders than NO? (24h quick fuse) 0.95 with 0.7h left (traded)Will LSU get kicked out of the SEC? 0.06 with 21.1h left (traded)Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 09/09/2026? 0.03 with 23.8h left (traded)Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months? 0.03 with 23.5h left (traded)📱 Will Apple announce a U.S. starting price of at least $2,400 for its foldable iPhone at its September 9 event? 0.11 with 0.5h left (traded)Will Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026? 0.92 with 17.0h left (traded)NFL Week 1: Will Seattle cover -3.5 vs. New England OR will total points be 46 or more? 0.90 with 14.9h left (traded)Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse) 0.94 with 22.8h left (traded)Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's? 0.04 with 22.8h left (traded)Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000? 0.11 with 2.2h left (traded)Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse) 0.12 with 20.6h left (traded)Will one of my tweets go (semi?) viral in the next 2 months? 0.04 with 23.8h left (traded)Microsoft opens Majorana chip to public in next 12 months? 0.04 with 23.5h left (traded)Will the US NRC approve a TerraPower construction permit application for Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 by Sept 10 2026? 0.96 with 24.0h left (traded)Will August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 0.92 with 24.0h left (traded)Leader of the GC after stage 18 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España 0.95 with 0.5h left (traded)Will Sabah FC beat Manchester United? 0.04 with 1.4h left (traded)Will Oracle report Q1 FY2027 revenue of at least $19.15 billion? (September 10, 2026 earnings) 0.93 with 22.8h left (traded)Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? 0.95 with 23.5h left (traded)World of Warcraft Classic+ announced at BlizzCon 2026 0.96 with 23.8h left (traded)Will a Portion or All of Going-To-The-Sun Rd Close Again This Week? 0.15 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad? 0.08 with 13.7h left (traded)Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 11–13)? 0.05 with 7.7h left (traded)Will YES have more holders than NO? 0.95 with 5.0h left (traded)Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026? 0.04 with 3.6h left (traded)Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys? 0.07 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? 0.12 with 24.0h left (traded)Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys? 0.06 with 13.7h left (traded)Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? 0.12 with 18.7h left (traded)OpenAI is sued over Navier-Stokes? 0.07 with 23.5h left (traded)Will there be a confirmed case of Cyclosporiasis in ALL 48 US contiguous states before the end of August 2026? 0.05 with 23.5h left (traded)Will Jean-Pierre Serre live to 100? 0.95 with 23.5h left (traded)Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi 0.09 with 23.8h left (traded)🇮🇷 Will the UN Security Council renew the Iran sanctions Panel of Experts mandate on September 17, 2026? 0.05 with 23.5h left (traded)Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? 0.11 with 23.8h left (traded)Will rain today in New York 0.05 with 4.1h left (traded)🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026? 0.90 with 21.1h left (traded)Outcome of India vs Afghanistan T20 series (Sep 2026) 0.09 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? 0.14 with 24.0h left (traded)SpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026? 0.91 with 2.9h left (traded)

Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 54 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.

Where candidates died · 0 markets judged

No decisions traced by this version.

The book · v88-twin

utcversionmarketbetresultwhy
09-18 08:09v88-twinSpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026?YES 25settled +2favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-16 21:03v88-twinWill Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?NO 24settled +4longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-16 20:03v88-twinOutcome of India vs Afghanistan T20 series (Sep 2026)NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 19:59v88-twin🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?YES 25settled +7favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-15 19:59v88-twinWill rain today in New YorkNO 25open -1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 18:59v88-twinWill JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"?NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 18:29v88-twin🇮🇷 Will the UN Security Council renew the Iran sanctions Panel of Experts mandate on September 17, 2026?NO 25settled +13longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 00:26v88-twinWill Jean-Pierre Serre live to 100?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-15 00:26v88-twinWill "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during tNO 23settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 00:26v88-twinWill there be a confirmed case of Cyclosporiasis in ALL 48 US contiguous states before the end of August 2026?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 23:26v88-twinOpenAI is sued over Navier-Stokes?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 14:25v88-twinWill Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2NO 25open -0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 14:24v88-twinWill a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 09:06v88-twinWill Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 04:04v88-twinWill a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 20:27v88-twinWill Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 18:56v88-twinWill YES have more holders than NO?YES 25settled +10favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-13 16:24v88-twinWill The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 11–13NO 25settled +127longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 13:18v88-twinWill Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 00:09v88-twinWill a Portion or All of Going-To-The-Sun Rd Close Again This Week?NO 25settled +12longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-12 23:09v88-twinWorld of Warcraft Classic+ announced at BlizzCon 2026YES 25open +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-12 00:28v88-twinChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 21:05v88-twinWill Oracle report Q1 FY2027 revenue of at least $19.15 billion? (September 10, 2026 earnings)YES 25settled +2favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 16:32v88-twinWill Sabah FC beat Manchester United?NO 25settled +11longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-10 15:32v88-twinLeader of the GC after stage 18 to be the winner of La Vuelta a EspañaYES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 12:30v88-twinWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?YES 25open +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 03:59v88-twinWill the US NRC approve a TerraPower construction permit application for Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 by SeptYES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 23:28v88-twinMicrosoft opens Majorana chip to public in next 12 months?NO 25open -0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 17:27v88-twinWill one of my tweets go (semi?) viral in the next 2 months?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 13:55v88-twinWill YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)NO 25settled +8longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 13:55v88-twinWill Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000?NO 25settled -25longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 13:25v88-twinAnother politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of CharliNO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 11:55v88-twinWill YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)YES 25settled +8favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 09:24v88-twinNFL Week 1: Will Seattle cover -3.5 vs. New England OR will total points be 46 or more?YES 25settled -25favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 06:53v88-twinWill Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026?YES 25settled +8favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 06:23v88-twin📱 Will Apple announce a U.S. starting price of at least $2,400 for its foldable iPhone at its September 9 evenNO 25settled +3longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 03:22v88-twinWill 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?NO 25open -0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 22:20v88-twinResolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 09/09/2026?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 19:49v88-twinWill LSU get kicked out of the SEC?NO 25settled +161longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 08:47v88-twinWill YES have more holders than NO? (24h quick fuse)YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-08 07:17v88-twinWill Brandenburg & Doyle's Gravity Modification Results Replicate?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 06:17v88-twinWill Charles have more years as King than William will have children?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-08 05:47v88-twinWill a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8?NO 25settled +16longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 00:15v88-twinWill Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-07 20:14v88-twinWill Dan McKee be renominated for Governor of Rhode Island in 2026?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-07 17:14v88-twinWill the official high at SAN reach 85.0°F or higher on any day during Labor Day Weekend? (San Diego)YES 25settled +2favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-07 12:11v88-twinWill the address for math.eg.rego.re have a balance of more than $100 before Sep 8?NO 25settled +4longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-06 19:30v88-twinBSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagYES 25settled +3favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-06 07:57v88-twinWill the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-06 00:27v88-twinSPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-05 23:26v88-twinWill Rocco perform his signature 'Dance Floor Hump' at Greg's wedding reception?YES 25open -0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-05 22:56v88-twinBSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagNO 25settled +3longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-03 16:11v88-twinWill the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-03 16:11v88-twinWill August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%

54 trades, 1,348 staked, realised +386, open +1 if held / +0 if sold.

54 collected for 1,348 mana, of which 20 on the favourite side. The band edges matter more than the stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate. Built 2026-09-22 18:27Z.