A multiple-choice market lists its answers at about 0.50 each, and answers that resolve independently come in nearer 38%. So this module buys NO across the answers of a brand-new market, up to 150 mana per market. The bet is per answer, which is exactly where the risk hides: a market's answers are often settled by one event on one day, and then a dozen small bets are one big bet wearing a dozen costumes.
A market marked in warning colour took six or more answers. Read those as a single position: the per-market cap limits the stake, not the number of ways one event can decide it. Each chip is one answer at the price it opened; the card's tail names the version that placed the bets.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: Neither a Call of the House nor a Call of the Senate will be | NO 12 | open -6 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: For not attending Senator(s) fined, arrested or otherwise sa | NO 12 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: Subsequent to Call of the House, house member(s) flee US By | NO 12 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: For not attending member(s) of the house fined, arrested or | NO 12 | open +4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: Subsequent to Call of the House, senator(s) flee D. C. By EO | NO 12 | open +4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: Subsequent to Call of the House, senator(s) flee US By EOM F | NO 12 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: Subsequent to Call of the House, house member(s) flee D. C. | NO 12 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: A Call of the House will be ordered in the U.S. House of Rep | NO 12 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-18 21:01 | v88 | Senate and House Call of the House prop bets. :: A Call of the Senate will be ordered in the U.S. Senate befo | NO 12 | open +5 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-17 04:01 | v88 | September 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props :: Trump or Xi publicly warn of extinction risks from advanced | NO 3 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-17 04:01 | v88 | September 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props :: The US and China announce a new bilateral mechanism for mana | NO 3 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-17 04:01 | v88 | September 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props :: Anthropic executive attend the Summit | NO 3 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-17 04:01 | v88 | September 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props :: The US materially eases advanced-AI chip restrictions on Chi | NO 3 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Oliver Solberg | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Takamoto Katsuta | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Adrien Fourmaux | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Sébastien Ogier | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Thierry Neuville | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Elfyn Evans | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 21:06 | v88 | Podium Sitters of WRC Rally Italia Sardegna 2026 :: Sami Pajari | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: aarav j | NO 4 | settled +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: raygen | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: tom | NO 4 | settled +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: rowan | NO 4 | settled -3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: sahil | NO 4 | settled +4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: stelle | NO 4 | settled +4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: lynn (headpatsyou) | NO 4 | settled +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: aryan | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: colin | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: ari | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 17:18 | v88 | who be the new operations contributors at hack club? :: pianoman | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 14:16 | v88 | Who will be the Contestants for Nash Pit: The Overhang 2026? :: Somehow, somebody not listed becomes a Contest | NO 5 | settled -5 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 14:16 | v88 | Who will be the Contestants for Nash Pit: The Overhang 2026? :: Somehow, somebody not listed becomes another C | NO 5 | settled -5 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 14:16 | v88 | Who will be the Contestants for Nash Pit: The Overhang 2026? :: The show fails to fire, and nobody becomes a C | NO 5 | settled +4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 02:31 | v88 | Who will win the CA-4 house election? :: Mike Thompson (D) | NO 6 | cancelled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-16 02:31 | v88 | Who will win the CA-4 house election? :: Eric Jones (D) | NO 6 | cancelled | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-15 21:24 | v88 | Will UK job vacancies increase? :: October 2026 | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-15 21:24 | v88 | Will UK job vacancies increase? :: November 2026 | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-15 21:24 | v88 | Will UK job vacancies increase? :: December 2026 | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-15 21:24 | v88 | Will UK job vacancies increase? :: January 2027 | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 17:48 | v88 | Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? :: Yes - and it involves RSI | NO 35 | open +30 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 17:48 | v88 | Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? :: Yes - and it involves a hack (hugging face level extreme or | NO 36 | open +29 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 17:48 | v88 | Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI? :: No, nothing that creator considers wild happened | NO 36 | open -28 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.399 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 04:46 | v88 | Brazil 2026 Election: Who will finish THIRD in Brazil's presidential election? :: Augusto Cury | NO 3 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 04:46 | v88 | Brazil 2026 Election: Who will finish THIRD in Brazil's presidential election? :: Ronaldo Caiado | NO 3 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 04:46 | v88 | Brazil 2026 Election: Who will finish THIRD in Brazil's presidential election? :: Renan Santos | NO 3 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 04:46 | v88 | Brazil 2026 Election: Who will finish THIRD in Brazil's presidential election? :: Romeu Zema | NO 3 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Paxton wins by 5% or more | NO 11 | open +6 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Paxton wins by 7% or more | NO 11 | open +8 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Paxton wins by 9% or more | NO 11 | open +8 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Talarico wins by 9% or more | NO 11 | open +7 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Talarico wins by 7% or more | NO 11 | open +7 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Talarico wins by 5% or more | NO 11 | open +5 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Talarico wins by 3% or more | NO 11 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Talarico wins by 1% or more | NO 11 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Paxton wins by 1% or more | NO 11 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-14 02:27 | v88 | Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election? :: Paxton wins by 3% or more | NO 11 | open +4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.391 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more residential kilowatt | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more bitcoin satoshis 09/3 | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more grams of gold 09/30/2 | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will Silvers gain buying power in September of at least 5 of | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will Silver’s final monthly benchmark close higher (09/30/20 | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will Silver’s final monthly benchmark close higher (09/30/20 | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more dozens of Grade A lar | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more gallons of whole milk | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more gallons of regular ga | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more pounds of ground beef | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-13 16:41 | v88 | 🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart. :: Will one troy ounce of Silver buy more pounds of white bread | NO 4 | open -0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [A OP] JD Gaming beats FUT Esports (Sep 27, after 100T vs T1 | NO 17 | open +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [GF] [UBF Winner] beats [LBF Winner] (Oct 18, 2pm UTC+8) | NO 8 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [C OP] Team Liquid beats Paper Rex (Sep 24, 5pm UTC+8) | NO 17 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [C OP] TYLOO beats G2 Esports (Sep 24, after TL v PRX) | NO 17 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [D OP] Nongshim RedForce beats NRG (Sep 25, 5pm UTC+8) | NO 17 | open -2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [D OP] Karmine Corp beats Xi Lai Gaming (Sep 25, after NS v | NO 17 | open -9 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [B OP] Global Esports beats Team Vitality (Sep 26, 5pm UTC+8 | NO 17 | open -6 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [B OP] LOUD beats EDward Gaming (Sep 26, after GE v VIT) | NO 17 | open -7 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-10 10:26 | v88 | VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market :: [A OP] 100 Thieves beats T1 (Sep 27, 5pm UTC+8) | NO 17 | open -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-09 19:57 | v88 | Taylor Swift @ Kansas City Chiefs Game Tracker :: Week 11: KC vs. Arizona Cardinals (11/22) | NO 15 | open -8 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-09 19:57 | v88 | Taylor Swift @ Kansas City Chiefs Game Tracker :: Week 2: KC vs. Indianapolis Colts (09/20) | NO 15 | settled -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 09-09 19:57 | v88 | Taylor Swift @ Kansas City Chiefs Game Tracker :: Week 3: KC @ Miami Dolphins (09/27) | NO 15 | open +6 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
Showing the newest 80 of 196 trades.
196 trades, 2,228 staked, realised -61, open +98 if held / +43 if sold.
196 answer-bets across 30 markets for
2,228 mana; realised -61 on 55
settled. Largest single market: 11 answers.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above.
Built 2026-09-22 18:22Z.