close‑collector

module 1.0 · v88 ← trader

A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.

The closing window

0.90–0.970.03–0.1524h12hcloseno hourOutcome of Sri Lanka vs England T20 series (Sep 2026) 0.01 with hour not loggedwill apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026? 0.01 with hour not loggedWill Henry Shevlin be compensated in some form by polymarket for his situation monitoring bar idea? 0.53 with hour not loggedWill I avoid media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. every day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus) 0.68 with hour not loggedEPL: Will Manchester United beat Fulham? 0.52 with hour not loggedBTC Up or Down 1d 0.51 with hour not loggedDid Something Happen with GLM-5.3 Flash? 0.04 with 4.6h left (traded)Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? 0.05 with 22.8h left (traded)Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? 0.05 with 22.8h left (traded)Will Astra release today? 0.97 with 9.8h left (traded)BSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag 0.14 with 23.0h left (traded)Will Rocco perform his signature 'Dance Floor Hump' at Greg's wedding reception? 0.92 with 23.5h left (traded)SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election? 0.95 with 23.5h left (traded)Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026 0.11 with 8.2h left (traded)BSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag 0.91 with 2.2h left (traded)Will the address for math.eg.rego.re have a balance of more than $100 before Sep 8? 0.15 with 23.5h left (traded)Will the official high at SAN reach 85.0°F or higher on any day during Labor Day Weekend? (San Diego) 0.92 with 7.0h left (traded)Will Dan McKee be renominated for Governor of Rhode Island in 2026? 0.04 with 23.5h left (traded)Will Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate? 0.95 with 24.0h left (traded)Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8? 0.14 with 8.9h left (traded)Will Charles have more years as King than William will have children? 0.94 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Brandenburg & Doyle's Gravity Modification Results Replicate? 0.07 with 24.0h left (traded)Will YES have more holders than NO? (24h quick fuse) 0.91 with 1.0h left (traded)Will LSU get kicked out of the SEC? 0.06 with 21.4h left (traded)Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 09/09/2026? 0.04 with 24.0h left (traded)9984 reaches 6800 by Sep 10? 0.94 with 22.8h left (traded)Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months? 0.03 with 24.0h left (traded)📱 Will Apple announce a U.S. starting price of at least $2,400 for its foldable iPhone at its September 9 event? 0.11 with 0.2h left (traded)Will Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026? 0.91 with 17.3h left (traded)NFL Week 1: Will Seattle cover -3.5 vs. New England OR will total points be 46 or more? 0.90 with 14.6h left (traded)Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse) 0.94 with 22.6h left (traded)Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's? 0.04 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000? 0.13 with 2.4h left (traded)Will one of my tweets go (semi?) viral in the next 2 months? 0.04 with 23.8h left (traded)Microsoft opens Majorana chip to public in next 12 months? 0.04 with 23.8h left (traded)Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse) 0.15 with 8.9h left (traded)Will the US NRC approve a TerraPower construction permit application for Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 by Sept 10 2026? 0.96 with 23.8h left (traded)Will August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 0.92 with 23.8h left (traded)Leader of the GC after stage 18 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España 0.95 with 0.2h left (traded)Will Sabah FC beat Manchester United? 0.05 with 1.9h left (traded)Will Oracle report Q1 FY2027 revenue of at least $19.15 billion? (September 10, 2026 earnings) 0.97 with 22.3h left (traded)Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? 0.95 with 23.8h left (traded)World of Warcraft Classic+ announced at BlizzCon 2026 0.96 with 23.8h left (traded)Will a Portion or All of Going-To-The-Sun Rd Close Again This Week? 0.15 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad? 0.08 with 13.7h left (traded)Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 11–13)? 0.05 with 7.7h left (traded)Will YES have more holders than NO? 0.95 with 5.0h left (traded)Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026? 0.04 with 3.6h left (traded)Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys? 0.07 with 23.5h left (traded)Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? 0.12 with 23.5h left (traded)OpenAI is sued over Navier-Stokes? 0.07 with 23.5h left (traded)Will there be a confirmed case of Cyclosporiasis in ALL 48 US contiguous states before the end of August 2026? 0.05 with 23.5h left (traded)Will Jean-Pierre Serre live to 100? 0.95 with 23.5h left (traded)Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi 0.09 with 23.5h left (traded)🇮🇷 Will the UN Security Council renew the Iran sanctions Panel of Experts mandate on September 17, 2026? 0.05 with 24.0h left (traded)Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? 0.11 with 23.8h left (traded)Will rain today in New York 0.09 with 3.8h left (traded)🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026? 0.90 with 20.9h left (traded)Outcome of India vs Afghanistan T20 series (Sep 2026) 0.09 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? 0.14 with 24.0h left (traded)SpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026? 0.91 with 2.9h left (traded)Outcome of Sri Lanka vs England T20 series (Sep 2026) 0.12 with 3.4h left (traded)

Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 24 declined on the clock alone, all outside the window (nearest 24h out), with no price logged, so they are not drawn. 6 judged on price inside the window with no hour logged: the strip at the left. 56 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.

Where candidates died · 60 markets judged

25not binarymultiple-choice and numeric belong to other modules
24not closing yetoutside the window where the clock does the work
6priced in the middleneither a heavy favourite nor a heavy longshot
4no real booka lone ante can sit at 0.95 with nobody having disagreed
1coinflipa question with no forecastable content

The book · v88

utcversionmarketbetresultwhy
09-19 15:18v88Outcome of Sri Lanka vs England T20 series (Sep 2026)NO 25settled +3longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-18 08:11v88SpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026?YES 25settled +9favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-16 21:05v88Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?NO 25settled +4longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-16 20:05v88Outcome of India vs Afghanistan T20 series (Sep 2026)NO 25settled +56longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 20:01v88🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?YES 25settled +10favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-15 20:01v88Will rain today in New YorkNO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 19:01v88Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"?NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 18:01v88🇮🇷 Will the UN Security Council renew the Iran sanctions Panel of Experts mandate on September 17, 2026?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 00:28v88Will there be a confirmed case of Cyclosporiasis in ALL 48 US contiguous states before the end of August 2026?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-15 00:28v88Will Jean-Pierre Serre live to 100?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-15 00:28v88Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during tNO 24settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 23:28v88OpenAI is sued over Navier-Stokes?NO 25settled +29longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 09:25v88Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2NO 25open -0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-14 04:24v88Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 20:23v88Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?NO 25settled +5longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 18:53v88Will YES have more holders than NO?YES 25settled +14favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-13 16:22v88Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 11–13NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 13:22v88Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad?NO 25settled +10longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-13 00:19v88Will a Portion or All of Going-To-The-Sun Rd Close Again This Week?NO 25settled +4longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-12 23:19v88World of Warcraft Classic+ announced at BlizzCon 2026YES 25open +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-12 00:15v88Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 21:41v88Will Oracle report Q1 FY2027 revenue of at least $19.15 billion? (September 10, 2026 earnings)YES 25settled +50favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 16:10v88Will Sabah FC beat Manchester United?NO 25settled +9longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-10 15:40v88Leader of the GC after stage 18 to be the winner of La Vuelta a EspañaYES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 12:40v88Will August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?YES 25open -0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 04:08v88Will the US NRC approve a TerraPower construction permit application for Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 by SeptYES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-10 01:38v88Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)NO 25settled -13longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 23:08v88Microsoft opens Majorana chip to public in next 12 months?NO 25open -0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 17:37v88Will one of my tweets go (semi?) viral in the next 2 months?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 13:36v88Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 12:36v88Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of CharliNO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 12:06v88Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)YES 25settled -13favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 09:36v88NFL Week 1: Will Seattle cover -3.5 vs. New England OR will total points be 46 or more?YES 25settled -25favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 06:35v88Will Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-09 06:35v88📱 Will Apple announce a U.S. starting price of at least $2,400 for its foldable iPhone at its September 9 evenNO 25settled +3longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 03:04v88Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?NO 25open -0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-09 01:04v889984 reaches 6800 by Sep 10?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-08 22:03v88Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 09/09/2026?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 19:33v88Will LSU get kicked out of the SEC?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 08:31v88Will YES have more holders than NO? (24h quick fuse)YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-08 07:01v88Will Brandenburg & Doyle's Gravity Modification Results Replicate?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 06:01v88Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-08 06:01v88Will Charles have more years as King than William will have children?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-08 00:00v88Will Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?YES 25settled +144favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-07 20:29v88Will Dan McKee be renominated for Governor of Rhode Island in 2026?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-07 16:58v88Will the official high at SAN reach 85.0°F or higher on any day during Labor Day Weekend? (San Diego)YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-07 12:28v88Will the address for math.eg.rego.re have a balance of more than $100 before Sep 8?NO 25settled +19longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-06 19:55v88BSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagYES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-06 07:53v88Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-06 00:21v88SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?YES 25settled -1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-05 23:21v88Will Rocco perform his signature 'Dance Floor Hump' at Greg's wedding reception?YES 25open -0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-05 22:51v88BSW receives at least 5% and enters the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagNO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-03 18:07v88Will Astra release today?YES 25settled -3favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
09-03 13:36v88Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-03 13:36v88Did Something Happen with GLM-5.3 Flash?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
09-03 13:36v88Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?NO 25open +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%

56 trades, 1,398 staked, realised +331, open +1 if held / +0 if sold.

56 collected for 1,398 mana, of which 22 on the favourite side. The band edges matter more than the stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate. Built 2026-09-22 18:22Z.