down‑fade

module 1.1 · v87 ← trader

The mirror of whale‑fade: a single bet that shoves a binary market down 0.25+ is on average overconfident, and this module buys 25 YES against it on the same reaction race. Measured +6.98/event in the 2026 era (n=753, CI [+2.97, +11.19]) on the resolution replay; its own book so the number stays visible.

The book so far

fades
0
open
0
settled
0
realised
+0
race, median

Why the stream was left alone · 0 bets judged

No decisions traced by this version.

The book · v87

No trades in this book.

0 trades, 0 staked, realised +0, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.

Judge this module at resolution, like the replay that justified it; the race column says whether the entry price was still worth having. Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate. Built 2026-09-22 18:01Z.