A multiple-choice market lists its answers at about 0.50 each, and answers that resolve independently come in nearer 40% for ai, 36% for crypto, 38% for entertainment, 37% for geopolitics, 35% for other, 43% for personal, 39% for politics, 43% for sports, 41% for stocks (38% for anything unnamed). So this module buys NO across the answers of a brand-new market, up to 150 mana per market. The bet is per answer, which is exactly where the risk hides: a market's answers are often settled by one event on one day, and then a dozen small bets are one big bet wearing a dozen costumes.
A market marked in warning colour took six or more answers. Read those as a single position: the per-market cap limits the stake, not the number of ways one event can decide it. Each chip is one answer at the price it opened; the card's tail names the version that placed the bets.
Nothing judged yet.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: TCU defeats North Carolina | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: USC defeats San Jose State | NO 4 | settled +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: Virginia defeats NC State | NO 4 | settled -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: North Dakota State defeats Jacksonville State | NO 4 | settled -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: Eastern Michigan defeats Sacramento State | NO 4 | settled -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: Stanford defeats Hawaii | NO 4 | settled -4 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: Florida State defeats New Mexico State | NO 4 | settled +2 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-29 10:56 | v68 | What results will happen during Week 0 of College Football? :: UNLV defeats Memphis | NO 4 | settled +3 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
8 trades, 30 staked, realised -4, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.
8 answer-bets across 1 markets for
30 mana; realised -4 on 8
settled. Largest single market: 8 answers.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above.
Built 2026-09-22 18:01Z.