A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.
Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 26 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.
No decisions traced by this version.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 18:31 | v68 | Will Christopher Randles remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-30 17:01 | v68 | Will Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 202 | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-30 15:31 | v68 | Will Jesse remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-30 14:31 | v68 | Will Ziddletwix remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-30 14:01 | v68 | US regain control over Bagram air base in Afghanistan by August 2026? | NO 25 | settled +2 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-30 13:01 | v68 | Will Anthropic release a system card of a model at a new frontier of intellegence by August 31st? | NO 25 | settled +3 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-30 11:00 | v68 | Will chris (strutheo) remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will DP remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Zanda Zhu remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Mary Smith remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Joe and Seth remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +2 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +2 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will JasonMendoza2008 remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Chad remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Alex remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will draaglom remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Toward a theory of everything remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +2 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Tripping remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +2 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Simon remain in Masters after Season 40? | YES 25 | settled +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 23:28 | v68 | Will Miguel Sánchez remain in Masters after Season 40? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-29 00:24 | v68 | Leader of the GC after stage 9 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-28 21:23 | v68 | Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $60 per pound on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-28 21:23 | v68 | Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-28 21:23 | v68 | Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $40 per pound on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-28 18:23 | v68 | Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kilotonnes on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +0 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-28 13:52 | v68 | Michael Jordan cameo in The Coyote vs. ACME movie? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
26 trades, 650 staked, realised +36, open +2 if held / +2 if sold.
26 collected for 650 mana, of which
12 on the favourite side.
The band edges matter more than the
stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs
several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate.
Built 2026-09-22 18:05Z.