A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.
Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 3 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.
No decisions traced by this version.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 11:16 | v85 | Will Alcaraz win the next round at the US open? C.Alcaraz vs J.Faria | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 09-02 10:16 | v85 | Will Julian Alvarez be sold to Barcelona by the end of the summer transfer window? | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 09-02 10:16 | v85 | Will Dylan Matthew beat Community Prediction (Metaculus Summer Cup) | NO 25 | settled +1 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
3 trades, 75 staked, realised +4, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.
3 collected for 75 mana, of which
1 on the favourite side.
The band edges matter more than the
stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs
several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate.
Built 2026-09-22 18:05Z.