close‑collector

module 1.0 · v80-twin ← trader

A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.

The closing window

0.90–0.970.03–0.1524h12hcloseWill Jim remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 24.0h left (traded)Will rg26 remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Joe and Seth remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.08 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Simon remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.96 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Zanda Zhu remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.94 with 24.0h left (traded)Will JasonMendoza2008 remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.93 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Alex remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Zico remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 24.0h left (traded)Will draaglom remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 24.0h left (traded)Will DP remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Tripping remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.11 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Miguel Sánchez remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.04 with 24.0h left (traded)Will DAC remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 24.0h left (traded)Will John-George Salter remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Mary Smith remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.10 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Toward a theory of everything remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.07 with 24.0h left (traded)Will chris (strutheo) remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.95 with 24.0h left (traded)Will Chad remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.94 with 23.3h left (traded)

Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 19 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.

Where candidates died · 0 markets judged

No decisions traced by this version.

The book · v80-twin

utcversionmarketbetresultwhy
08-29 23:35v80-twinWill Chad remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +2favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Miguel Sánchez remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill DAC remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill John-George Salter remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Mary Smith remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +3longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Toward a theory of everything remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill chris (strutheo) remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Simon remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Zanda Zhu remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +1favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill JasonMendoza2008 remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +2favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Alex remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Zico remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill draaglom remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill DP remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Tripping remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +3longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Jim remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill rg26 remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:05v80-twinWill Joe and Seth remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +2longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%

19 trades, 475 staked, realised +28, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.

19 collected for 475 mana, of which 5 on the favourite side. The band edges matter more than the stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate. Built 2026-09-22 18:27Z.