close‑collector

module 1.0 · v80 ← trader

A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.

The closing window

0.90–0.970.03–0.1524h12hcloseWill Jim remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Joe and Seth remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.08 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Simon remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.96 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Zanda Zhu remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.94 with 23.8h left (traded)Will JasonMendoza2008 remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.93 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Alex remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Zico remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 23.8h left (traded)Will draaglom remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 23.8h left (traded)Will DP remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Tripping remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.11 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Miguel Sánchez remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.04 with 23.8h left (traded)Will DAC remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 23.8h left (traded)Will John-George Salter remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.03 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Mary Smith remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.06 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.10 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Toward a theory of everything remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.07 with 23.8h left (traded)Will chris (strutheo) remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.95 with 23.8h left (traded)Will Chad remain in Masters after Season 40? 0.94 with 23.3h left (traded)

Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 18 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.

Where candidates died · 0 markets judged

No decisions traced by this version.

The book · v80

utcversionmarketbetresultwhy
08-29 23:43v80Will Chad remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:13v80Will Mary Smith remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Toward a theory of everything remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will chris (strutheo) remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:13v80Will Miguel Sánchez remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will DAC remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will John-George Salter remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Zico remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will draaglom remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will DP remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Tripping remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Simon remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:13v80Will Zanda Zhu remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:13v80Will JasonMendoza2008 remain in Masters after Season 40?YES 25settled +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 23:13v80Will Alex remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Jim remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +1longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%
08-29 23:13v80Will Joe and Seth remain in Masters after Season 40?NO 25settled +0longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95%

18 trades, 450 staked, realised +4, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.

18 collected for 450 mana, of which 5 on the favourite side. The band edges matter more than the stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate. Built 2026-09-22 18:05Z.