close‑collector

module 1.0 · v77-twin ← trader

A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.

The closing window

0.90–0.970.03–0.1524h12hcloseWill the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kilotonnes on August 29, 2026? 0.93 with 2.2h left (traded)Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on August 29, 2026? 0.97 with 5.0h left (traded)

Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 2 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.

Where candidates died · 0 markets judged

No decisions traced by this version.

The book · v77-twin

utcversionmarketbetresultwhy
08-29 16:04v77-twinWill the U3O8 spot price exceed $40 per pound on August 29, 2026?YES 0unfilledfavorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 16:04v77-twinWill the U3O8 spot price exceed $60 per pound on August 29, 2026?YES 0unfilledfavorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 16:04v77-twinWill the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on August 29, 2026?YES 25open +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%
08-29 16:04v77-twinWill the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kilotonnes on August 29, 2026?YES 25open +0favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99%

4 trades, 50 staked, realised +0, open +0 if held / +0 if sold, 2 unfilled.

2 collected for 50 mana, of which 2 on the favourite side, 2 unfilled. The band edges matter more than the stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate. Built 2026-09-22 18:27Z.