A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.
Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 5 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.
No decisions traced by this version.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 06:12 | v70 | Leader of the GC after stage 9 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 06:12 | v70 | Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kilotonnes on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +0 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 06:12 | v70 | Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $60 per pound on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 06:12 | v70 | Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
| 08-29 06:12 | v70 | Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $40 per pound on August 29, 2026? | YES 25 | open +1 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
5 trades, 125 staked, realised +2, open +2 if held / +2 if sold.
5 collected for 125 mana, of which
5 on the favourite side.
The band edges matter more than the
stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs
several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate.
Built 2026-09-22 18:12Z.