A multiple-choice market lists its answers at about 0.50 each, and answers that resolve independently come in nearer 38%. So this module buys NO across the answers of a brand-new market, up to 150 mana per market. The bet is per answer, which is exactly where the risk hides: a market's answers are often settled by one event on one day, and then a dozen small bets are one big bet wearing a dozen costumes.
A market marked in warning colour took six or more answers. Read those as a single position: the per-market cap limits the stake, not the number of ways one event can decide it. Each chip is one answer at the price it opened; the card's tail names the version that placed the bets.
Nothing judged yet.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Sudokuvania 2: Lineage of Logic | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Desktop Explorer | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: TR-49 | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Pronoun Palace | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: The Artisan of Glimmith | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Big Walk | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: The Incident at Galley House | NO 4 | open -1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Super Sudokoid: Dark Inversion | NO 4 | open +0 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Sokogram | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
| 08-28 02:27 | v65 | What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards? :: Cursed Words | NO 4 | open +1 | independent MC answers at ~0.5 opens resolve YES ~0.353 for this type; open 0.50 |
10 trades, 38 staked, realised +0, open +4 if held / +2 if sold.
10 answer-bets across 1 markets for
38 mana; realised +0 on 0
settled. Largest single market: 10 answers.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above.
Built 2026-09-22 18:01Z.