A market that is still a heavy favourite with hours left has very little time left to be wrong. This module works the last 24 hours of a market's life and takes the side the clock favours: buy YES at 0.90–0.97, buy NO at 0.03–0.15. Nothing in the middle, and nothing whose price is just an untouched ante.
Time runs toward the close on the right-hand end, because that is the direction opportunity moves here: a market enters this module's world by running out of time, not by changing price. Dots outside the two lanes were seen and left alone. 2 trades from the book at their price and hours-to-close when placed, ringed.
No decisions traced by this version.
| utc | version | market | bet | result | why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 10:05 | v63 | On 27th August, will the in/out price for Kimi K3 on Openrouter be below $2 / $10 per 1M tokens? | NO 25 | settled +3 | longshot band 0.03-0.15 within 24h of close resolves NO 95% |
| 08-27 10:05 | v63 | Will Jason Arday's 'Great and Unfortunate Things' be available for purchase in the UK on or before August 27, | YES 25 | settled +2 | favorite band 0.90-0.97 within 24h of close resolves YES 99% |
2 trades, 50 staked, realised +5, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.
2 collected for 50 mana, of which
1 on the favourite side.
The band edges matter more than the
stake: this module is buying near-certainty, so a single wrong one costs
several right ones.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is separate.
Built 2026-09-22 18:05Z.