mc‑indep

module 1.0 · v53-twin ← trader

A multiple-choice market lists its answers at about 0.50 each, and answers that resolve independently come in nearer 38%. So this module buys NO across the answers of a brand-new market, up to 150 mana per market. The bet is per answer, which is exactly where the risk hides: a market's answers are often settled by one event on one day, and then a dozen small bets are one big bet wearing a dozen costumes.

Markets it bet, and how many answers each took

No market bet yet.

A market marked in warning colour took six or more answers. Read those as a single position: the per-market cap limits the stake, not the number of ways one event can decide it. Each chip is one answer at the price it opened; the card's tail names the version that placed the bets.

Where candidates died · 0 markets judged

Nothing judged yet.

The book · v53-twin

No trades in this book.

0 trades, 0 staked, realised +0, open +0 if held / +0 if sold.

0 answer-bets across 0 markets for 0 mana; realised +0 on 0 settled. Largest single market: 0 answers.
Traces are diagnostic and rotate; the trading journal is the book above. Built 2026-09-22 18:22Z.